Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 12.416821 13.963779 15.699641 17.805873 20.311366 23.220509 26.889326
2025-07-06 10.039701 11.914342 14.181000 17.167826 21.068490 26.090011 33.216329
2025-07-13 9.672190 11.979862 14.944195 19.131465 25.067261 33.471494 46.856572
2025-07-20 8.967219 11.455170 14.796075 19.769757 27.287764 38.791197 59.022372
2025-07-27 8.072944 10.541777 13.964454 19.260501 27.663379 41.323509 67.370816
2025-08-03 7.659621 10.231046 13.916264 19.857111 29.792954 47.078998 83.306481
2025-08-10 7.094496 9.637350 13.373656 19.588674 30.420199 50.321941 95.472323
2025-08-17 6.614695 9.120271 12.884314 19.324987 30.982666 53.532280 108.811574
2025-08-24 6.228455 8.707599 12.510156 19.193916 31.742511 57.283298 125.087870
2025-08-31 5.820769 8.228386 11.983515 18.729893 31.785259 59.526062 138.493393
2025-09-07 5.515338 7.885112 11.645001 18.554495 32.356902 63.068629 157.527026
2025-09-14 5.122993 7.377601 10.994567 17.740265 31.501115 63.084422 165.580364
2025-09-21 4.730003 6.858631 10.309538 16.836974 30.424807 62.571592 172.671499
2025-09-28 4.425681 6.466844 9.815158 16.250300 29.959022 63.552130 186.233402
2025-10-05 4.537433 6.762858 10.526837 18.071034 35.171118 81.359302 285.051685
2025-10-12 4.447066 6.711749 10.617535 18.661863 37.662082 92.544944 371.086108
2025-10-19 4.215578 6.404569 10.219027 18.190522 37.444694 95.177676 413.342267
2025-10-26 4.138343 6.359056 10.298440 18.742680 39.961643 108.039131 547.327741
2025-11-02 3.965273 6.134843 10.025169 18.494299 40.303010 113.341957 637.599702
2025-11-09 3.805466 5.925523 9.765903 18.250225 40.618139 118.750197 744.621536
2025-11-16 3.671199 5.754835 9.569573 18.128870 41.267060 125.872982 894.577059
2025-11-23 3.511247 5.529870 9.253185 17.699068 40.941420 128.792502 1007.452060
2025-11-30 3.390812 5.371254 9.058143 17.536532 41.400134 135.527957 1207.765286